Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 3.617228 4.040099 4.499363 5.036311 5.648248 6.325520 7.134049
2025-02-23 3.028127 3.598153 4.262875 5.099604 6.130757 7.367658 8.975263
2025-03-02 2.565950 3.187768 3.951254 4.966107 6.292338 7.984035 10.333270
2025-03-09 2.265734 2.916954 3.750468 4.908805 6.497845 8.632066 11.768057
2025-03-16 2.031991 2.695370 3.574708 4.843927 6.659437 9.209981 13.149622
2025-03-23 1.926939 2.628717 3.590191 5.028969 7.171511 10.316064 15.418217
2025-03-30 1.779894 2.486344 3.481736 5.018026 7.386716 10.998479 17.119110
2025-04-06 1.645542 2.347901 3.362750 4.973490 7.536993 11.585607 18.729803
2025-04-13 1.471543 2.136024 3.116004 4.707434 7.307330 11.535140 19.253243
2025-04-20 1.387482 2.051434 3.052427 4.718759 7.519678 12.222739 21.137459
2025-04-27 1.332846 2.006791 3.045236 4.817126 7.881842 13.197403 23.667669
2025-05-04 1.282348 1.964121 3.036510 4.909826 8.239955 14.199549 26.386475
2025-05-11 1.225932 1.909600 3.007050 4.969365 8.554445 15.175660 29.240891
2025-05-18 1.171979 1.855157 2.973386 5.018286 8.854714 16.161729 32.278031
2025-05-25 1.090399 1.748939 2.844244 4.884778 8.798445 16.447304 33.861670
2025-06-01 1.029571 1.673460 2.761854 4.828096 8.881304 17.015407 36.153141
2025-06-08 0.972901 1.601284 2.679828 4.764356 8.942293 17.542732 38.432183
2025-06-15 0.958375 1.601351 2.725498 4.945882 9.514433 19.217641 43.734726
2025-06-22 0.916569 1.550208 2.674660 4.935143 9.686860 20.041715 47.076112
2025-06-29 0.873340 1.493781 2.610126 4.891451 9.784054 20.706957 50.124637
2025-07-06 0.804399 1.386604 2.444236 4.630413 9.385094 20.181973 49.906427
2025-07-13 0.775379 1.351465 2.412382 4.641525 9.588276 21.100507 53.824271
2025-07-20 0.758661 1.338207 2.421376 4.738041 9.993198 22.557192 59.557494